Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 81.437474 91.172669 101.090899 111.920454 123.381765 135.121991 148.028303
2025-09-14 67.313399 81.491074 96.538526 113.571896 132.197802 151.837267 174.003986
2025-09-21 57.227580 73.708513 91.759914 112.739697 136.211358 161.446639 190.421007
2025-09-28 48.485222 66.332099 86.472860 110.449854 137.819104 167.737501 202.581458
2025-10-05 45.027651 64.568201 87.128902 114.465647 146.121534 181.129423 222.300214
2025-10-12 41.338716 62.118907 86.650962 116.878422 152.350380 191.993834 239.024676
2025-10-19 36.638642 58.007142 83.855304 116.275163 154.847789 198.421048 250.568060
2025-10-26 32.541246 54.304812 81.271083 115.673004 157.134552 204.434516 261.491606
2025-11-02 29.506160 51.726896 79.873031 116.327681 160.759431 211.877704 273.955976
2025-11-09 26.154064 48.449705 77.380987 115.461132 162.420978 216.918577 283.553352
2025-11-16 23.573959 46.024723 75.820431 115.614628 165.201146 223.185484 294.502944
2025-11-23 20.769082 43.045119 73.358587 114.487527 166.305089 227.380887 302.960358
2025-11-30 19.084876 41.608576 72.901941 115.903448 170.554960 235.371739 315.960405
2025-12-07 17.662754 40.454828 72.755059 117.669056 175.210067 243.839088 329.531555
2025-12-14 15.530642 37.998910 70.676890 116.806780 176.500951 248.195883 338.185427
2025-12-21 13.176642 34.942379 67.586448 114.472153 175.831487 250.097639 343.850530
2025-12-28 12.849324 35.264773 69.316751 118.569586 183.318131 261.926722 361.385735
2026-01-04 12.104925 34.794808 69.854249 121.031078 188.701678 271.181011 375.838591
2026-01-11 10.633928 32.884861 68.179519 120.415685 190.086742 275.496413 384.329967
2026-01-18 9.301812 31.077182 66.559847 119.801396 191.417468 279.704691 392.662111
2026-01-25 8.375904 29.942617 65.899197 120.469261 194.380821 285.910822 403.398608
2026-02-01 7.211993 28.181428 64.178199 119.585250 195.265564 289.499776 410.932214
2026-02-08 6.359732 26.953514 63.228265 119.741843 197.484111 294.728881 420.447780